Using the 2D and 3D visualization and analysis methods in Global Mapper®, changes in water levels and flood risks can be modeled and explored to aid in understanding the risk of flooding in local areas. As Earth’s climate changes and seas rise, powerful flooding with high tides is an increasing concern.
Coastal Flood Scenario
Recently Portland, Maine, a city not far from Blue Marble Geographics’ headquarters, experienced flooding due to the rising levels of natural tides. As a coastal city, the risk of minor flooding has always been a concern. In fact, king tides rising high enough to cause water to run through the streets were only an annual or biannual occurrence. With Global Mapper, users can leverage publicly-available terrain, tide predictions, and data to model and analyze coastal flooding in this area.
Water Level Visualization with Global Mapper
This tidal chart for Portland over the month of November indicates both high and low tide marks. King tides, which are cycles that occur during the full moon, are most extreme and can be seen in this chart as well. For any given date, the water level can be visualized in Global Mapper using the Water Level Display option in 2D and 3D. With this visualization and the reference data loaded, areas likely to be impacted by high tides can be seen.
Simulate Water Level Rise and Floods
A more complex analysis utilizes the Simulate Water Level Rise/Flooding tool in Global Mapper. This tool models how an increase in water level from a starting elevation will flow over the terrain in a given area. Using an elevation of zero as the start point and raising the water to the high tide measurement, the areas impacted by a specific tide are created as polygons in the workspace.
To quickly analyze multiple tide periods, predicted or measured, over the study period, data for only high tides from NOAA’s tide predictions can be extracted as a table. Using this table of high tide values in a Global Mapper script, layers modeling each high tide can easily be generated.
Using the Animate functionality in Global Mapper, each layer can be viewed in succession showing the variation in high tides, including recent king tides, over the beginning of November.
Predict Affected Land Areas
Looking ahead, the tide predictions for the month of December can be downloaded from NOAA. In reviewing the data, it appears tides are expected to approach and even exceed two meters. This is higher than what was seen in November and will likely result in some coastal flooding. Using the same script format as above the generated December tides table is used to create water level rise layers for the high tides through the first half of December.
Identifying the highest predicted tide, the generated flood model can be used in the Spatial Operations tool with local municipal data to determine the parcels and roads that may see some flooding, as a result of this particular tide. Using the intersect predicate with the parcels data and then the roads data to create two new vector layers, lists of potentially flooded roads and land areas are generated.
With Global Mapper’s ability to model the impact of local tides and predict affected areas, local officials and businesses can better prepare for these higher tides. After assessing the current situation of coastal flooding this information can be used to discuss and model flood mitigation strategies in Global Mapper and other programs.
If you would like to model tides and coastal flooding in Global Mapper, download a 14-day free trial today! If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to get in touch.
If you enjoyed this blog, you may also find these other resources useful:
“Tide Predictions – NOAA Tides & Currents.” Tides & Currents, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions.html?id=8418150.
Weber, Sam, and Christopher Booker. “Barely a Cloud in the Sky and Portland, Maine, Is Flooding.” PBS, Public Broadcasting Service, 14 Nov. 2021, https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/barely-a-cloud-in-the-sky-and-portland-maine-is-flooding.
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